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Prediction Markets Fail as Lula Wins Historic Brazil Runoff

By Sergio Goschenko

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won Brazil’s runoff election, securing a fourth term as Brazil’s president. Lula defied prediction markets that gave Senator Flavio Bolsonaro over 80% odds of winning after taking the lead in the first round and receiving the support of other candidates. Lula Defies Prediction Markets to…

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